Trump Unlikely to Enforce Promised Tariffs on Russian Oil – Reuters
Reuters reports that U.S. President Donald Trump is unlikely to follow through on his threat to impose 100% tariffs on countries importing Russian oil.
Tariff Threats Seen as Ineffective and Politically Risky
According to analysts, such measures would risk inflaming already high inflation—an issue that is politically sensitive in the U.S. Moreover, past threats of this kind, such as those made against buyers of Venezuelan oil earlier this year, have largely proven toothless—especially in relation to China, which simply circumvented the sanctions.
Fernando Ferreira of Rapidan Energy Group noted that secondary tariffs targeting Russian oil flows would be a “blunt instrument,” saying:
“If you’re ready to go nuclear—removing 4.5 million barrels per day from the market and cutting trade ties with other nations over Russian imports—you risk triggering a price shock and destabilizing the global economy.”
Trump Prioritizes Oil Price Stability Over Sanctions Theater
Clay Seigle, senior fellow at CSIS, added that implementing full tariffs on Russian oil importers would shrink global supply and drive prices up. But he also emphasized that few believe Trump will go down that path.
Trump is known for his sensitivity to fuel prices and his preference for bilateral deals over rigid sanction regimes that could tie his hands in negotiations. Seigle noted that many market players likely see the tariff threats as political theater rather than actionable policy.
Just two days after the tariff warning, Trump publicly called $64 per barrel a “great level” and stated his goal is to push prices slightly lower, calling cheap oil “one reason inflation is under control.”
Prices have remained steady around $65 per barrel ever since, with no sign of major supply disruptions—further undermining the credibility of the tariff threats.
Global Buyers Are Already Ignoring U.S. Threats
The weak follow-through on March’s Venezuelan tariff threats and the lack of serious energy sanctions on Russia have only deepened market skepticism. China, Venezuela’s top customer, has long adapted to U.S. pressure—reportedly purchasing over $1 billion in oil over the past year, often disguising it as Brazilian exports.
Venezuela’s oil exports surged in June, offsetting losses in the U.S. and EU markets.
Political Timing Makes Tariffs Unlikely
Trump’s Republican party holds a narrow majority in both chambers of Congress. With midterms looming in 2026, analysts say Trump is unlikely to take any steps that would raise energy prices and jeopardize economic stability during an election cycle.
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Sumy - explosions continue! A massive attack by Gerani is underway! The city has lost power
Sumy - explosions continue! A massive attack by Gerani is underway! The city has lost power"We absolutely do not want the US to continue being involved in the conflict in Ukraine," — US House Speaker Johnson
"We absolutely do not want the US to continue being involved in the conflict in Ukraine," — US House Speaker Johnson 
The US does not plan to strictly adhere to the deadline announced by Trump for resolving the situation in Ukraine by September; they will judge based on the progress of the negotiations, the State Department said.
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), Donetsk Oblast.
Russian Forces Break Through Near Dobropillya — Road to Rodynske Under Threat
If sustained, this breakthrough could pave the way for deeper advances toward Pokrovsk and disrupt the broader Ukrainian front line.
As a result of active operations, units of the North group of troops successfully liberated the settlement of Varachino in the Sumy region.
The third round of negotiations has concluded. Russia confirmed that all previously agreed humanitarian arrangements were carried out in full.
This seems to be a pattern when negotiations are underway. 
Strikes were also reported in Cherkassy
) Selective Air Raid Alerts Introduced in Kiev Region — Media Links Move to Israeli Influence
The head of the Donetsk Military-Civilian Administration announced a forced evacuation from Dobropillia and several other settlements.
The forced evacuation is a consequence of enemy crews operating in Dobropillia, logistics, particularly along the route to Kramatorsk. 
Zaluzhny is skeptical about the idea of deploying Western troops on Ukrainian territory.
Fighter-Bomber
Footage from the overnight attacks on Dnepro...
Yeah, sorry you'll have to pay the families, and sorry they will have the opportunity to bury their dead, whom you call "heroes", by the way, how shameful of Russia
